"Less than you expect will change in the short term, while more than you expect will change in the long term" is probably a good heuristic, though certainly imp

"Less than you expect will change in the short term, while more than you expect will change in the long term" is probably a good heuristic, though certainly imperfect. I still can't quite wrap my head around the fact that I spent five days in a row in an office in mid-March 2020 without the slightest sense that it could easily be the last time I or many of my colleagues would do so in our careers.