3 ms·
You're making bad future assumptions about wind/solar. What is impressive to me is that wind/solar are now beating the best LCOE "old power" scheme (gas turbin
by AtlasBarfed 4y ago
You're making bad future assumptions about wind/solar.
What is impressive to me is that wind/solar are now beating the best LCOE "old power" scheme (gas turbine)... and they are not done dropping in cost. There are a variety of future economies of scale and advancements yet to come that will drop them even lower.
When they drop low enough and batteries get cheap enough, then yes, effectively batteries are "free" because battery+alt energy is cheaper than any other dirty alternative.
I would guess in 5-6 years we'll have a convergence of ultracheap wind+solar and good-enough sodium ion batteries that no existing nuke design or fossil fuel can beat.
- Manuel_D 4y agoThere's nowhere near sufficient battery supply to make intermittent sources viable. Annual battery output amounts to less than 15 minutes of global electricity consumption, and an even smaller fraction of total energy consumption. Inputs to batter manufacturing like lithium have sixfold since 2000: https://www.metalary.com/lithium-price/ https://www.metalary.com/lithium-price/