No, this is a good running estimate for 2Q'22 US Real GDP, as macro data has been released throughout the quarter. In the last week it has gone from meager to

No, this is a good running estimate for 2Q'22 US Real GDP, as macro data has been released throughout the quarter. In the last week it has gone from meager to ... The implication is that since 1Q official final was negative, it is now highly likely to (eventually) be declared by NBER that the current recession began in early 2022.