As an example of how things evolve, Q1 2022 now stands at -1.6% real GDP. If Q2 was also negative as expected by this forecast, a recession started 6 months ago

As an example of how things evolve, Q1 2022 now stands at -1.6% real GDP. If Q2 was also negative as expected by this forecast, a recession started 6 months ago (as usually defined). Just some context for the "why are people predicting a recession this time?" comments in the various layoff threads.