I think eventually major car manufacturers will work with the regulator to bring on new standards, and it will happen withing 15 years. Infrastructure upgrades

I think eventually major car manufacturers will work with the regulator to bring on new standards, and it will happen withing 15 years. Infrastructure upgrades will take another 15. Most startups that aim to solve self driving will either find a niche in that ecosystem or go extinct. So I expect reasonable self driving cars to be common in depeloped nations in 2050, while AGI will be just as elusive. In a similar vein, the correct solution to electric trucks is not giant batteries, it's simply overhead wires: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/29/uk-to-study-using-overhead-wires-to-power-long-haul-trucks.html https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/29/uk-to-study-using-overhead-w...