I'd take the author's "final bet" on "Lindy" principles alone, but I also have what I think are good additional reasons to think that physical books are going n

I'd take the author's "final bet" on "Lindy" principles alone, but I also have what I think are good additional reasons to think that physical books are going nowhere. Perhaps the biggest "negative" one for is, big picture, how utterly silly the ebook experience generally is. I say this thinking about how many of our collective sci-fi dreams are easily achievable today and we still don't do them. As in, I'm old enough to remember fantasizing about the possibility of the Library of Alexandria in your pocket -- and perhaps more importantly -- the excitement of the possibility. That second thing doesn't much seem to exist. Replaced by utter silliness like *lending* ebooks from the library" which, sure, I get why it happened -- but if you step back it's just absurd.