4 ms·
I'm confused, where does the 2.1% come from. It does look like 0.001795 which is 0.2% for a 30 year old in the source you linked
by tdrgabi 4y ago
I'm confused, where does the 2.1% come from. It does look like 0.001795 which is 0.2% for a 30 year old in the source you linked
- vicek22 4y agoThe number you read is for dying within the next year. The OP said within a decade.
- kevinpet 4y agoOP also said "in their 30s" not "at 30". So I'd use 35-45 rather than 30-40, which shifts it a bit.
- cupofpython 4y agoSince I already have the spreadsheet built for my other comment: 30-39 is 2.1% 35-44 is 2.5% 40-49 is 3.3% --------- 30-49 is 5.3% Ranges are inclusive of entire year. 30-39 is 30th bday to 40th bday
- cupofpython 4y ago.001795 for year 30 = .998205 survival this year .001858 for year 31 = .998142 ... .002482 for year 39 = .997518 --------------------- .998205 x .998142 x ... x .997518 = .978997 survival rate over 10 years 1 - .978997 = .021003 chance of death = 2.1%