Rationality doesn't work when studies have repeatedly found virtually no correlation between 'someone good doing hiring as they like' and good candidates in the

Rationality doesn't work when studies have repeatedly found virtually no correlation between 'someone good doing hiring as they like' and good candidates in the context of retention, performance, and more. Even rationally it doesn't make much sense. You're judging people on what they do in a year given how much an individual likes them and believes them to be good given a day's worth of input. Even if such an individual finds a lot of 'good' hits, nothing would tell them if it was this particular selection mechanism, other selection mechanisms, the workplace, luck, or none of them. The same goes the other way around for 'bad' hits. Not to mention, if rationality worked, we'd see 'years of experience' have great correlation with 'good' candidates. Yet YoE always fails to contribute greatly given the presence of other metrics.