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> He has gained significant territory at huge expense. And the gains are almost certainly temporary since unless Russia mobilises their reserves etc. they won't

by cudgy 4y ago

> He has gained significant territory at huge expense. And the gains are almost certainly temporary since unless Russia mobilises their reserves etc. they won't have the manpower to hold such vast swathes of land. Not sure how you’ve reached this conclusion other than a wild guess. The state of the war and huge progress made by Russia indicates the opposite. Russia is unlikely to give up the land they’ve taken without a fight and so far they are winning the fight and will continue to make progress. Very few if any independent military experts believe otherwise unless the US or NATO decide to intervene, which is not going to happen.

Isinlor 4y ago
Russia was thought to have the second most powerful army in the world, while Ukraine is the poorest country in Europe. It was assumed Ukraine will fall in 3 days. Whether Russia succeeds or not depends on your expectations. To me, as a Pole, the fact that Ukraine is demilitarizing Russia is a great success of Ukrainians. Russia will be too spent to even consider attacking Poland yet again, hopefully for at least a decade. Ukraine looking east to Russia is done. Almost nobody in Ukraine wants to keep relationships with Russia. So there is great hope that now Ukraine will be able to make up its mind and choose Western path to prosperity as did Poland. Mind you, Polish and Ukrainian economies were the same size in 1989-1991 after we pushed Soviet Union to collapse. Before the war in 2021 Ukrainian economy was 3 times smaller than Polish. Also, the push to transition away from Russian gas has never been greater in EU.
benj111 4y ago
Huge progress? 3 months ago they were at the gates of Kyiv, today they're in no position to threaten Kyiv, and are struggling to nibble away at one small chunk of territory at a time. Russia does not have time on its side. It's economy is going down the toilet, it's losing the ability to make new munitions, Ukraine on the other hand just needs time to train troops and wait for western deliveries of weapons. Russia's only chance was a quick win in less than a week, it's failed to do that.

by cudgy 4y ago

Isinlor 4y ago

Russia was thought to have the second most powerful army in the world, while Ukraine is the poorest country in Europe. It was assumed Ukraine will fall in 3 days. Whether Russia succeeds or not depends on your expectations. To me, as a Pole, the fact that Ukraine is demilitarizing Russia is a great success of Ukrainians. Russia will be too spent to even consider attacking Poland yet again, hopefully for at least a decade. Ukraine looking east to Russia is done. Almost nobody in Ukraine wants to keep relationships with Russia. So there is great hope that now Ukraine will be able to make up its mind and choose Western path to prosperity as did Poland. Mind you, Polish and Ukrainian economies were the same size in 1989-1991 after we pushed Soviet Union to collapse. Before the war in 2021 Ukrainian economy was 3 times smaller than Polish. Also, the push to transition away from Russian gas has never been greater in EU.

benj111 4y ago

Huge progress? 3 months ago they were at the gates of Kyiv, today they're in no position to threaten Kyiv, and are struggling to nibble away at one small chunk of territory at a time. Russia does not have time on its side. It's economy is going down the toilet, it's losing the ability to make new munitions, Ukraine on the other hand just needs time to train troops and wait for western deliveries of weapons. Russia's only chance was a quick win in less than a week, it's failed to do that.