> I think you should look into commodity prices. I'm surprised at how many people aren't paying attention to the global game on this. Let's look then at that.

> I think you should look into commodity prices. I'm surprised at how many people aren't paying attention to the global game on this. Let's look then at that. Russia produces about 4 billion barrels of oil per year. The various sanctions reduced that, but not by much. I've seen estimates of 10% to 20% decline, although I have also seen lower estimates. The war has been going on for about 4 months, so at a very conservative 20% output decline it follows that they produced 270 million barrels less than last year. At $100 a barrel, that's a shock of less than $30 billion on the supply side. It's much less than that though, since other producers have increased their output. $30 billion shock on the supply side vs $7 trillion on the demand side...