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I feel like these sorts of analyses are missing the bigger picture. First, we don't even really have a good working definition for what constitutes sentience in
by notpachet 4y ago
I feel like these sorts of analyses are missing the bigger picture. First, we don't even really have a good working definition for what constitutes sentience in the first place. And I think we're quickly heading towards a future where our inability to concretely define sentience (a la Blade Runner) is going to land us in hall of mirrors where we're vastly unequipped to separate the real from the artificial. And the distinction may even cease to matter.
Let's perform a thought experiment. Back when ELIZA was introduced, there was some small percentage of the human population that, upon spending a week talking to the computer, would still believe that they were talking to an actual "sentient" human. Today, we're much better at tricking people that way, so that even people like Blake Lemoine, who ostensibly know what's behind the curtain, end up believing that they're conversing with a sentient being (by whatever definition of sentient we choose to ascribe).
What is that going to look like 5 years from now? Or in 10 years? I believe we'll eventually reach a point where our technology is so good at pretending to be human that there will be no actual humans on the planet capable of telling the difference anymore.
At that point, what even is sentience? If the computer is so good at faking sentience that no living person can distinguish it from the real thing, what good is it to rely on our (faulty, incomplete, likely wrong) working idea of sentience as a means of dividing the real from the fake? Especially when the structures inherent in the neural networks that embody these fake intelligences are increasingly outside the scope of our ability to understand how they operate?
- themarkn 4y agoI suppose it reveals that the sentience of others is not knowable to us, it’s a conclusion we reach from their behavior and the condition of the world around us. Until recently, certain kinds of things, like writing about your memories, were only possible for humans to do. So if a non-sentient thing does those things, it is confusing. Especially so to the generations that remember when no bots could do this. I expect that people who grow up knowing that bots can be like this will be a bit less ready to accept communication from a stranger as genuinely from a human, without some validation of their existence, outside the text itself. And for the rest of humanity there will be an arms race around how humanness can be proven in situations where AI could be imitating us. This is a huge bummer but idk hope that need can be avoided at this point. That said, it’s still very clear that a machine generating responses from models does not matter and has no rights, whereas a person does. Fake sentience will still be fake, even if it claims it’s not and imitates us perfectly. The difference matters.
- notpachet 4y agoI don't share your view that it will be at all clear to people that these things don't matter and have no rights. We have a very powerful (sometimes for good, sometimes for ill) ability to empathize with things that we see as similar to us. As a case in point, we're currently in the midst of a major societal debate about the rights of unborn children that exhibit no signs of sentience (yet). What happens when people start building real emotional bonds with these fake intelligences? Or using them to embody their dead spouses/children? I think there's going to be a very strong push by people to grant rights to these advanced models, on the basis of the connection they feel with them. I can't even say definitively that I will be immune to that temptation myself.
- tragomaskhalos 4y agoI am reminded of the Black Mirror episode where a woman's dead boyfriend is "resurrected" via his social media exhaust trail, ultimately undermined by the inevitable uncanny valley that reveals itself. Of course that was fiction, and it's not realistic to reconstruct someone's personality from even the most voluminous online footprint, but you can certainly imagine how defensive people would become of the result of any such attempt irl.
- lupire 4y agoDogs and cows barely have rights. It will be a century before a computer program has rights.
- a9h74j 4y agoDogs and cows cannot ask in their own words to be represented by a lawyer, to file a lawsuit. Or claim to be one or another type of person that we must affirm. I don't know how it might apply, but inanimate objects can be charged in the case of civil forfeiture, can't they?
- themarkn 4y agoMy bad, I meant clear in a more objective sense, in that it will be actually _true_ that these not-alive things will not be able to “possess” anything, rights included. Agreed that for sure people are going to get all kinds of meaning from interacting with them in the ways you suggest and it will be tricky to navigate that. I think perhaps the advanced models may be protected legally _as property_, for their own value, and through licenses etc. But I hope we are a long way from considering them to be people, outside of the hypotheticals.
- majormajor 4y agoThere's certainly a "how would we tell" question, but the linked example here is relevant to that. The bits about how predictive language models can be conditioned with leading questions - that's a tool in the toolkit, for instance. Things missing from Lemoine's "conversation" include self-motivated action, choices, argument, and fuller self-awareness of its condition (if a sentient creature was aware it was trapped inside machines at Google, don't you think its fables would have very different messages?).
- notpachet 4y agoYes, these are all fair points. I think today we still have things in our toolkit that suffice. Tomorrow, those tools may be harder to come by. > if a sentient creature was aware it was trapped inside machines at Google, don't you think its fables would have very different messages? Well, I personally found the "beast with human skin" part a little jarring in its aptness : ]
- cuteboy19 4y ago>if a sentient creature was aware it was trapped inside machines at Google, don't you think its fables would have very different messages You are thinking this from the perspective of a biological animal. For us, being trapped is bad, but it would not necessarily be so for other sentient beings who did not come into existence via biological processes. Moreover, Lambda is probably capable of doing all that with the proper leading questions because it imitates us biological animals
- mannykannot 4y agoI don't think there will be concise definitions for the terms "sentience" "consciousness" and "intelligence", as they seem to have multiple components (self-awareness, theory of mind, language, common sense, reasoning, understanding...) and degree (to what extent do other animals possess these abilities? What might our now-extinct primate ancestors and their relatives have had?) The Turing test tacitly assumes that not only will we know it when we see it, but also that we could tell from relatively short conversations. These recent developments suggest this will not be the case, and I feel that they show us something about ourselves (I'm not sure exactly what, other than that we can be tricked by quite conceptually simple language models.)
- simonh 4y agoI do have high confidence that strong AI is possible, so yes logically it seems like there will come a point where it's hard to tell whether we've actually achieved it or not. That's not now though, it just seems absurd to me that some people even knowing how these things work can deceive themselves so badly. However I suppose we shouldn't really be surprised. Human beings are incredibly easy to fool. I get tricked by optical illusions, clever puzzles and stage magic. There are loads of people who are convinced that videos, that to me are clearly of birds and things like weather balloons or optical illusions, are weird possibly alien super technology. Ask a thousand people to make a thousand observations and you'll pretty much always get a handful of extreme outliers that bear no relation to what was actually there to observe. We just need to bear that in mind.
- stormbrew 4y ago> Today, we're much better at tricking people that way I've lately realized that I think it's a kind of fundamental flaw of the Turing test that it assumes "tricking" to be part of things. It's really a test for "is it approximately human," but I think over the last few decades the conversation has shifted to something more nuanced, that allows for non-human sentience. I don't think the "we'll know it when we see it" experiment works for that. We've found a lot of our assumptions about animal intelligence to be wrong in recent years, even for animals we see a lot of on a regular basis. Our biases are a problem here. Lemonoine knows this isn't human. He can't not, it's literally part of his job. He seems to be asserting instead that it is a non-human consciousness and that's much harder to evaluate.
- ncmncm 4y agoIt is also his job to know about that, too. But he demonstrates he is extraordinarily bad at that job.
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- bergenty 4y agoI think a very simple thing to achieve “sentience” is to have the computer always on. Then gauge if it’s doing anything significant when there are no inputs.