3 ms·

That's an overly dramatic take. My prediction is that Republicans will now begin losing seats in red State legislatures precisely because of this decision.

mgkimsal 4y ago
'now begin' If it happens, and it's because of this decision, I don't think it'll be felt for a while. Certainly I don't expect any backlash this election cycle, and probably no real consequences from this in 2024. I suspect that, to the extent negative effects are felt from this, there will be years of blaming those effects on 'liberal policies' and demonizing democrats some more. I'm pessimistic, but think we'll have a generation before there's any real backlash against the Republican Party over this issue (and by then, the party largely won't look the same as it does today anyway).
- cryptonector 4y ago
  It could be felt in November, or in 2024. 2026 at the latest.
31835843 4y ago
lovich 4y ago
The republicans have already indicated they are done with democracy. Why would they care if the voters don’t like it? They’ll just change the electors to whoever picks what they want
- ryan93 4y ago
  No they wont
  - lovich 4y ago
    They believe they can. They tried last election and they'll try again as they had zero fucking consequences. If you think they wont try you are either one of them or have your head in the sand. Edit: It was also frequently stated that "no, they wont" when people were worried about the conservatives overturning roe v wade, but here we are!
mikkergp 4y ago
Really? I was under the impression that we've split enough geographically that the citizens of red states would support this decision.
nobody9999 4y ago
>That's an overly dramatic take. My prediction is that Republicans will now begin losing seats in red State legislatures precisely because of this decision. Unlikely. cf.: https://www.cesifo.org/en/node/60300 https://www.cesifo.org/en/node/60300 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2018/11/13/least-three-states-republicans-lost-popular-vote-won-house/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2018/11/13/least-thr... https://www.evcnational.org/partisan-gerrymandering https://www.evcnational.org/partisan-gerrymandering https://changetherules.org/gerrymandering-united-states/ https://changetherules.org/gerrymandering-united-states/

mgkimsal 4y ago

'now begin' If it happens, and it's because of this decision, I don't think it'll be felt for a while. Certainly I don't expect any backlash this election cycle, and probably no real consequences from this in 2024. I suspect that, to the extent negative effects are felt from this, there will be years of blaming those effects on 'liberal policies' and demonizing democrats some more. I'm pessimistic, but think we'll have a generation before there's any real backlash against the Republican Party over this issue (and by then, the party largely won't look the same as it does today anyway).

cryptonector 4y ago
It could be felt in November, or in 2024. 2026 at the latest.

31835843 4y ago

lovich 4y ago

The republicans have already indicated they are done with democracy. Why would they care if the voters don’t like it? They’ll just change the electors to whoever picks what they want

ryan93 4y ago
No they wont
- lovich 4y ago
  They believe they can. They tried last election and they'll try again as they had zero fucking consequences. If you think they wont try you are either one of them or have your head in the sand. Edit: It was also frequently stated that "no, they wont" when people were worried about the conservatives overturning roe v wade, but here we are!

mikkergp 4y ago

Really? I was under the impression that we've split enough geographically that the citizens of red states would support this decision.

nobody9999 4y ago

>That's an overly dramatic take. My prediction is that Republicans will now begin losing seats in red State legislatures precisely because of this decision. Unlikely. cf.: https://www.cesifo.org/en/node/60300 https://www.cesifo.org/en/node/60300 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2018/11/13/least-three-states-republicans-lost-popular-vote-won-house/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2018/11/13/least-thr... https://www.evcnational.org/partisan-gerrymandering https://www.evcnational.org/partisan-gerrymandering https://changetherules.org/gerrymandering-united-states/ https://changetherules.org/gerrymandering-united-states/