You are impressed that someone predicted a war in 2014, and it happened...? I predict there will be a recession in the next 8 years! And another war! I also p

You are impressed that someone predicted a war in 2014, and it happened...? I predict there will be a recession in the next 8 years! And another war! I also predict there will be food insecurity in the developing world! And bad things will happen to countries and ships, somewhere on the globe! Probably including Iran! What do I expect from an expert prognosticator? Opinions with the potential to be wrong. Numbers or quantitative statements help a lot.