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> so much "climate activism" seems to only exist to exist, and not to solve anything. I mean, all I want to see is a threat model and a list of realistic polici
by smt88 4y ago
> so much "climate activism" seems to only exist to exist, and not to solve anything. I mean, all I want to see is a threat model and a list of realistic policies.
The problem is Twitter, not the activists. Real organizations and professionals in the industry write the kinds of analysis you're asking for all the time. You literally only need to Google something climate-change related and it's all you will see.
They include realistic scenarios with sensitivity analyses, and they enormous troves of data that you can download yourself if you want to see where it came from.
The problem isn't that this information is missing, it's that you're looking in the wrong place (and seemingly spending not even 10 seconds of effort to find it).
Here are the first five Google results for "climate change scenario":
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_scenario https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_scenario (includes citations for further reading)
- https://climatescenarios.org/primer/ https://climatescenarios.org/primer/ (explains what they are, includes citations, and overlays multiple climate models onto the same graph so you can see the differences)
- https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/5-possible-climate-futures-from-the-optimistic-to-the-strange https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/5-pos... (summarizes the IPCC report, which is exactly what you're describing)
- https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/sres-en.pdf https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/sres-en.pdf (an actual ICC report