5 ms·
I’m willing to believe that technology is an S-curve, limited by physics, and that we are now in the upper portion. No more low-hanging fruit, increments from h
by jl6 4y ago
I’m willing to believe that technology is an S-curve, limited by physics, and that we are now in the upper portion. No more low-hanging fruit, increments from here on out.
But I also think we are in the very lowest portion of a cultural progress S-curve where there is no shortage whatsoever of low-hanging fruit available that could enormously improve lives.
We’re a long way from just getting people to a reasonable baseline of fulfilment or even agreement on what that means (health, food, housing, family, purpose?).
- bergenty 4y agoI disagree. I feel we are on the cusp of close to general AI that may actually provide useful ideas to improve the world. Genetic engineering is in its infancy. Quantum computing and fusion are on the horizon. Neural brain links are a whole new paradigm. Renewable energy is just beginning to take hold.
- tuxie_ 4y ago> No more low-hanging fruit > Genetic engineering is in its infancy. Quantum computing and fusion are on the horizon. Neural brain links... Well if anything none of those examples you gave sound like low-hanging fruit.
- depereo 4y agonew technologies unlock newly realized low hanging fruits - what counts as 'low hanging' is based on current capability.
- SyzygistSix 4y agoThey very well might look like they were the low-hanging fruit in the future.
- bergenty 4y agoWhen something is in its infancy, there are a lot of low hanging fruit.