> My intuition is that there are an infinite number of ways to fail, and the number of ways to succeed are much more scarce This may well be true, but the fact

> My intuition is that there are an infinite number of ways to fail, and the number of ways to succeed are much more scarce This may well be true, but the factors for success are hyper-sensitive to the context of the time with a hefty dash of randomness thrown in. By the time we've observed the factors, the circumstances have changed so they're not entirely repeatable. Sticking to the formula may work, or may lead to wildly different results. But altering the formula is just as unpredictable. Context is critical.