Musk has repeatedly supplied dates a year or two in the future for self driving, robotaxi, etc. capabilities: https://www.roadandtrack.com/news/a35350331/checki

Musk has repeatedly supplied dates a year or two in the future for self driving, robotaxi, etc. capabilities: https://www.roadandtrack.com/news/a35350331/checking-in-on-all-the-promises-elon-musk-and-tesla-have-made/ https://www.roadandtrack.com/news/a35350331/checking-in-on-a... Sure, you can chalk that up as an estimate. But he says these things with such specific confidence, and supplies an exact year, to a point where he's not really "estimating" how long something will take -- he's making a promise, and breaking it. Because Elon fans will make up excuse after excuse for him.