4 ms·
I think you're underestimating the long tail, the average age of a vehicle is 12.2 years old, we're probably 15-20 years from where 50% of vehicles on the road
by Aloha 4y ago
I think you're underestimating the long tail, the average age of a vehicle is 12.2 years old, we're probably 15-20 years from where 50% of vehicles on the road are electric. I'm 39, and I do not see a point in my expected lifetime (around another 35 years) where gasoline and diesel fuel will not be common and available.
- bombcar 4y agoUnleaded gas was introduced in the 1970s in the US - and leaded gas was still made and sold until the 1990s. And it's still available if you know where to look in every city in the US as 100LL Avgas, or with additives.
- Aloha 4y agoI'm expecting retail gas stations to be common for the next 20-40 years, with some density reduction towards the middle of that period is what I'm saying more or less. To say leaded fuel is still available is a little bit of a misnomer, in the states anyhow, its not legally available as a road fuel, nor is a TEL additive - there are lead substitutes, but they're potassium I think, largely to prevent valve seat wear. As far as I know, low octane unleaded fuel has always been available, you could always get a 'regular' grade gas without TEL, and premium fuel was marketed as with TEL.
- bombcar 4y agoYeah, was just showing that it takes time for things to change, even given that most cars sold in the 70s worked fine on unleaded, there were still leaded cars out there. And cars didn't last nearly as long as they did before.