The media and the vast majority of US pundits were saying the invasion was impossible. US intelligence was being criticized before the invasion for being alarmi

The media and the vast majority of US pundits were saying the invasion was impossible. US intelligence was being criticized before the invasion for being alarmist. Again, just read the news articles from January/February of this year. It sounds like you weren't paying any attention to this in Feb and are just trying to come up with arguments to support your points.