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The admin isn’t necessarily lying. They are trying to be responsive to peoples’ concerns by admitting there is inflation, which there is. Admitting there is inf
by thephyber 4y ago
The admin isn’t necessarily lying. They are trying to be responsive to peoples’ concerns by admitting there is inflation, which there is. Admitting there is inflation and they are taking steps is optics 101.
I agree that many outside of DC jumped on Larry Summers’ bandwagon and are screaming that it was never transitory. But that still isn’t proven. And lots of those people happen to be political adversaries of Democrats, so they have additional reason to try and pin another problem on this president, whether it is his fault or not (which is what your Democrat wish list of things that never happened/passed so can’t affect inflation looks like). I would also note that you are mixing fiscal and monetary policy as if the White House admin had control over either.
Printing money (expanding the M1 money supply at least 4x) and a near zero interest rate environment happened for a decade after 2008 with stubbornly low inflation. That doesn’t necessarily lead to inflation.
COVID didn’t dampen demand for more than a month. It changed where demand was aimed. Money that pre-COVID went to restaurants, concerts, and travel was aimed at different goods like home improvements, in-home entertainment, and crypto/stonks. Inflation didn’t show up when households were thrown $1600, unemployment insurance claims saw richer payouts, and PPP was issued. It happened after buying and spending habits changed when people came out of hibernation and were spite spending.
Again, I’m not saying inflation isn’t transitory. I’m saying I don’t think we can know for sure until the supply-demand mismatches created by COVID lockdowns and behavioral changes have returned to some equilibrium. Only then might we have enough info to be sure, especially because transitory opponents will not set goal posts for the definition.
The only one solid piece of evidence I see for some kind of sustained inflation was the Great Resignation, where people were changing their desires and expectations for work and life. Combined with very little immigration since Trump’s inauguration, and we have not enough supply of low paid labor.