> You may want to short their stock then, because a 20 year lucky streak is incredibly unlikely, and odds are overwhelmingly for it ending tomorrow. That's not

> You may want to short their stock then, because a 20 year lucky streak is incredibly unlikely, and odds are overwhelmingly for it ending tomorrow. That's not a valid argument, and you are smart enough to know that. Something of the size of Amazon, with almost monopoly in many areas, won't suddenly fail tomorrow just because it was lucky to get where it is today.