3 ms·
Past data pretty much never predict sudden big jumps in value of financial products. Those are fat tailed and one may need literally trillions of data points to
by _0w8t 4y ago
Past data pretty much never predict sudden big jumps in value of financial products. Those are fat tailed and one may need literally trillions of data points to infer their probability distribution.
- bidirectional 4y agoThey're not trying to predict the future, just show that this is not an historically significant event.