3 ms·
> Does this mean we should have borrowed as much as possible to buy a house when rates were low ? I refinanced my morgage in spring 2020, up to the maximum all
by trashtester 4y ago
> Does this mean we should have borrowed as much as possible to buy a house when rates were low ?
I refinanced my morgage in spring 2020, up to the maximum allowed at the lowest interest rate bracket. The main reason was to ensure that I had liquidity, in case the economoy would crash much harder than it did in 2020, the secondary motive would be to take advantage of investment opportunities that might show up even if the credit market would crash (potentially making it hard to borrow).
Until now, I've been paying about 1% over the floating interest rate, but made a good profit from the money, most of which was put into index funds, even if half the profit has been lost this year. I've moved half my index fund holdings into index funds focusing on commodities, hoping that these will hold better than generic index funds if inflation stays high.
I don't belive central banks will be able to bring inflation under control on the first attempt. Instead, I predict that interest rates will go up until a moderate/strong recession causes people to enter the streets, and that QE and lower rates will follow for a time period, causing drawn-out stagflation, which is why I dont want to have too much in cash. I do have about 30% in cash, still, in case the market falls much further than it already has.