No it’s pure logic. One can only write a prenup when going to get married. P(prenup | not marrying) = 0. So if GP is talking about prenup it can only be about m

No it’s pure logic. One can only write a prenup when going to get married. P(prenup | not marrying) = 0. So if GP is talking about prenup it can only be about marriages. It’s unrelated to falling marriage rates. Then some data [1]. It’s in there. Most marriages occur before the first child. All I was arguing is that a prenup is an illogical moment in time to think about children in the context of divorce. I’ll go out and state that there is no way I could phantom what being a dad means before I was one for a few years. A prenup in my case would thus be empty of emotional baggage with regard to yet to be had children at that moment. A “children and separation” plan might be a good exercise for any couple after one year with a first baby. But with these plans it is with everything else: those likely to think and talk about it, aren’t the most likely to get into a (messy) divorce. [1] https://www.livescience.com/52215-divorce-risk-premarital-children.html https://www.livescience.com/52215-divorce-risk-premarital-ch...