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> That is a fundamental misreading of China's relationship with Taiwan and China's intentions. China is likely to never attack Taiwan as long as the status quo
by indymike 4y ago
> That is a fundamental misreading of China's relationship with Taiwan and China's intentions. China is likely to never attack Taiwan as long as the status quo is maintained, and as long as they believe that eventual peaceful reunification is possible. China's policy on Taiwan has not changed for decades.
The problem is that the status quo may not be acceptable to the people of Taiwan and reunification is not acceptable not even slightly wanted by the people of Taiwan. The's not really any chance of a reunification of the current China and the current Taiwan.
> Anything Russia does to other states has got absolutely nothing to do with it.
Not really, if Putin had quickly succeeded I have not doubt that WWIII would have started with a failed attempt to take Taiwan followed by WWIII. There's no scenario where A) China can take Taiwan, and B) Taiwan will accept Chinese rule. That died 70 years ago.
- Adraghast 4y ago> Not really, if Putin had quickly succeeded I have not doubt that WWIII would have started with a failed attempt to take Taiwan followed by WWIII. What qualifications allow you to make claims with such confidence?
- indymike 4y ago?
- FooBarWidget 4y agoYou know, the early 2000s looked pretty promising, with China and Taiwan having normalized relations for a while and with cross-strait business blooming. Back then a large portion of Taiwanese identified as Chinese. Today's tensions haven't always been there. As little as 10 years ago, Taiwanese supported reunification (though on their terms, e.g. the ROC government takes over the mainland) Ironically, Taiwan is very pro-Japan nowadays even though Japan was a colonizer in the early 20th century. Given this, it's not at all set in stone that relations will stay bad if peace endures.