2 ms·
If you used the raw model, without any smoothing, it still predicted the $50k price correctly. I think the smoothing gave too much weight to S2F and not enough
by danuker 4y ago
If you used the raw model, without any smoothing, it still predicted the $50k price correctly.
I think the smoothing gave too much weight to S2F and not enough to plain time.
But I am really curious what will happen after 2024. That is when S2F really diverges from a plain time power-law.
https://danuker.go.ro/bitcoin-price-predictions.html https://danuker.go.ro/bitcoin-price-predictions.html