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Gelman's tone may be dismissive, but he's a serious statistician and is taken seriously by the community, I think.

• wolverine876 4y ago
  > he's a serious statistician and is taken seriously by the community Absolutely and I'm sure Gelman's scholarly work is taken seriously. But as Gelman says: Brilliance represents an upper bound on the quality of your reasoning, but there is no lower bound. The most brilliant scientist in the world can take really dumb stances. ... The best driver in the world can still decide to turn the steering wheel and crash into a tree. [0] I don't think the blog is at the upper bound. I think many - including many smart, very human people - get taken in by path of (unfortunately) socially normative Internet rhetoric - it's easy to follow (requires conscious effort to avoid) and socially rewarding - which is heavy on contempt and outrage as the primary forces, as if they indicated truth or value, and not evidence and reason. [0] https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/06/08/how-can-a-top-scientist-be-so-confidently-wrong-r-a-fisher-and-smoking-example/ https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/06/08/how-can-a-...