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I think Macron is coming from a realistic position. Ukraine cannot win in the traditional sense (capturing Moscow (although even that was insufficient for Napo
by sofixa 4y ago
I think Macron is coming from a realistic position.
Ukraine cannot win in the traditional sense (capturing Moscow (although even that was insufficient for Napoleon) and forcing a surrender). It has to force Russia's surrender through other means - making the war unpopular, too costly in men and money, etc. This could literally take years since Russia is a dictatorship with lots of humans to sacrifice. Giving Putin an "honourable out" is probably the fastest way to bring the war to a stop. It's highly unlikely it will work, on multiple levels - Russia wouldn't agree, Ukraine sure as hell won't, and even if they did, it wouldn't last. Still, you can see where Macron is coming from - be it for humanitarian or practical reasons ( like the fact that the EU needs Russian gas for the foreseeable future and keeps paying to Russia, or that pushing an unhinged man with nuclear weapons to desperation might not end well).
In any case, yes, Russia must lose decisively, Germany WWII style, not Germany WWI style where the population didn't get it.
- kspacewalk2 4y agoIt would be great if Macron could clarify exactly what he means by "allowing Putin to save face" and not "humiliating" him. Does it involve Ukraine agreeing to territorial concessions, for example? A simple yes or now will let Ukrainians know exactly what adjectives/expletives to use when referring to Macron going forward.
- sofixa 4y agoIt's not up to Macron to decide that. It looks like he's just trying to keep a dialogue open, and casually remind that the lunatic on the other side has backed himself into a corner and has nukes.
- kspacewalk2 4y agoUnfortunately that lunatic interprets any attempts to negotiate as a sign of weakness. So until he's forced to negotiate, he won't. Why try?
- sofixa 4y agoBecause he's dictator, when he's forced to negotiate he'll appear weak, which can be lethal for a "strongman" like him.