4 ms·
Sounds about right, there's more variance for local and state elections. Definitely doesn't fit the narrative that a lot of folks like to run with about Texas.
by kodah 4y ago
Sounds about right, there's more variance for local and state elections. Definitely doesn't fit the narrative that a lot of folks like to run with about Texas.
Personally speaking, I'd go back to Texas if it stayed purple-ish and didn't adopt or drive national narratives of either party.
- dragonwriter 4y agoIf you go back to '74, gubernatorial elections are pretty similar in distribution to the Presidential since '76, but with less recent strength; you've got a narrow Dem majority in '74, a plurality win by a Democratic in 1990, and a lot of big blowout wins by Republicans, with all but one after 1994 being 10-point or greater margins ('98 was over 30 points, 2006 was a hair under 10 points, but it was also a weird four way race.) “~50%” as the typical Democratic share of the vote in Texas requires a generous interpretation of the approximation symbol.