Yeah there are many additional reasons this is different from a coin clip, but the confusion of predicting correctly 50% of the time in a 50/50 event versus 50%

Yeah there are many additional reasons this is different from a coin clip, but the confusion of predicting correctly 50% of the time in a 50/50 event versus 50% of the time for a 1/20+ event was the most glaring issue so I started with that one...