4 ms·
How long have we been forecasting? More than 50 years or more than 200 quarters. 5/12 would be 7 misses out of 200, that means it was right 193 out of 200 time
by stonemetal12 4y ago
How long have we been forecasting? More than 50 years or more than 200 quarters. 5/12 would be 7 misses out of 200, that means it was right 193 out of 200 times.
That doesn't include false negatives of course. Actuals vs positive predictions tells you nothing interesting.
- InefficientRed 4y agoYeah there are many additional reasons this is different from a coin clip, but the confusion of predicting correctly 50% of the time in a 50/50 event versus 50% of the time for a 1/20+ event was the most glaring issue so I started with that one...