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Is that one essential question answered by Dunning and Kruger's research? I keep going back to it (and not in a trivial way) because it really does shed so much
by spacemanmatt 4y ago
Is that one essential question answered by Dunning and Kruger's research? I keep going back to it (and not in a trivial way) because it really does shed so much light on behaviors informed (or not) by learned experience.
- wolverine876 4y agoWould you kindly expand on that? What research? What answer does it give? Any links? Thanks.
- spacemanmatt 4y agoObviously I can only nutshell it here for you. Their research delved into self-estimates of expertise compared with objective measurement of expertise. To an extent, they proved the old lamentation that fools are confident and wise men are cautious. I recommend starting here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
- itsdrewmiller 4y agoThis is too perfect - that effect also is likely not real: https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/10/12/can-the-dunning-kruger-effect-be-explained-as-a-misunderstanding-of-regression-to-the-mean/ https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2021/10/12/can-the-du...
- spacemanmatt 4y agoI think that the article you pasted supports my perspective, here. My reference to D&K here is specifically for this conclusion, from your article: "One relevant point, I guess, is that even if the observed effect is entirely a product of regression to the mean, it’s still a meaningful thing to know that people with low abilities in these settings are overestimating their <overstrike>true abilities</overstrike> how well they’ll do." I also think that you have inaccurately characterized the article, which author specifically divorces their self from judgement of "real" and "not real" in the introduction.