His intellectual or competitive advantage is not market movement timing. Plenty of brilliant people exist who would be considered bad at making predictions over

His intellectual or competitive advantage is not market movement timing. Plenty of brilliant people exist who would be considered bad at making predictions over a broad field of categories, especially market timing. More to disagree with the argument than to defend Musk. He's certainly been doing a lot of things to really undermine the brilliant-at-all-trades image. And luck is always underrated.