3 ms·
A common way to explain this is to increase the number of doors. You have 100 doors, select one blindly, and have a 1% chance of being correct. The host remov
by crwilcox 4y ago
A common way to explain this is to increase the number of doors.
You have 100 doors, select one blindly, and have a 1% chance of being correct.
The host removes all but one other door. Do you stay with the door you chose, a random guess of 100, or the one remaining after the host has removed all others? A door that is now statistically much more likely to be the correct choice?
- irthomasthomas 4y agoGood idea. That makes it extremely obvious. Hard to believe that Erdos didn't believe this until he did monte carlo simulations.