2 ms·
Here's how I finally understood the problem intuitively: If your initial pick is correct, then switching loses 100% of the time. If your initial pick is incor
by nkrisc 4y ago
Here's how I finally understood the problem intuitively:
If your initial pick is correct, then switching loses 100% of the time.
If your initial pick is incorrect, then switching wins 100% of the time (because you picked wrong, and host will reveal the other incorrect door, leaving only the correct door to switch to).
So switching always inverts your initial guess. Well what are the odds of picking incorrectly on your initial guess? 2/3. Switching wins 2/3 times.
- dahfizz 4y agoI also find this to be a more intuitive explanation, thank you!
- technothrasher 4y agoYep, this is how I always wrapped my head around it. You’ve got a 1/3 chance of being right, and the host is effectively offering you a chance to bet against yourself. That’s a 2/3 chance.