The expected value clearly is different. The mob primarily destroys and extracts and at most provides a token amount of real protection. The government provides

The expected value clearly is different. The mob primarily destroys and extracts and at most provides a token amount of real protection. The government provides advance warning for them to handle things on their own without further intervention and pursues a net-positive goal of reducing emissions and dependency on foreign fuels. It's not a threat, it's a statement of preferred outcomes with a "we truly prefer not to do this" fallback in case the preferred solution is not achieved on their own terms.