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The problem with the Fed's measure is there's too much substitution. The problem with Shadowstats is that there isn't any substitution. If the price of gold g
by onlyrealcuzzo 4y ago
The problem with the Fed's measure is there's too much substitution.
The problem with Shadowstats is that there isn't any substitution.
If the price of gold goes up - but you can get your cavities filled with a way cheaper and better substitute - that seems like a win.
If the price of silicon goes up, but you can get an exponentially more powerful computer for the same price that uses less energy (because the chip size shrinks) - that seems like a huge win.
If the price of cars is flat - but the safety ratings, reliability, and gas mileage have improved enormously, that seems like a win.
Then you have things like food and housing where the substitutes actually make things (arguably) worse...
One thing is clear - if you use Shadowstats measures of inflation - the US economy is ~25-75% smaller than it was in the 80s. This idea is absurd.