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Not if there are sufficient incentives to defect from the team trying to develop AGI and sufficient memetic defenses against someone doing so for nationalistic
by afarrell 4y ago
Not if there are sufficient incentives to defect from the team trying to develop AGI and sufficient memetic defenses against someone doing so for nationalistic reasons.
- olalonde 4y agoEinstein developed his groundbreaking theories while working as a clerk in the Swiss patent office. Information and education today are even more accessible than it was back then. If research is banned from universities and companies, someone will eventually discover AGI in their basement.
- afarrell 4y agoHe did so in correspondence with people in the scientific community. If AGI is both banned AND normatively reviled, then there can be a powerful incentive to defect from a community that would develop AGI. … or it becomes a tribalistic division and half the community of AI-knowledgeable people become more motivated to develop AGI for queen and country.
- fatherzine 4y agoNot necessarily. It's likely the energy budget to build AGI from scratch vastly exceeds the reach of your average hobbyist.
- olalonde 4y agoToday, perhaps. In 50 years? Maybe not. In 500 years, probably not.
- dinosaurdynasty 4y agoIt is reasonable to imagine that, with the right algorithms, we could simulate a human-level AI on a high-tier modern GPU.
- Jensson 4y agoWould be enough to simulate ant level AI to be revolutionary, and at least that would probably be fine on a modern GPU. Their brains are a million times smaller than ours, so should take a million times less compute to do.