> The point is you'd be able to move to wherever is good if the world were free. Which pretty much guarantees that said "wherever is good" ceases to be good.

> The point is you'd be able to move to wherever is good if the world were free. Which pretty much guarantees that said "wherever is good" ceases to be good. > There are no probabilities, small or large, for black swan events. That's the point. Actually, there are. The probability of a black swan event is unknown in some sense, but we do know one of the bounds. Or rather, we do know something about how often they occur. We may under-estimate, but the fact that it hasn't happened often enough for us to have good bounds is, in itself, information about "how often". But, let's run the experiment. Let Europe take in everyone who wants in and we'll see how things work out in a couple of decades. If you're right, Europe will finally be able break free of US hegemony. If I'm right,...