Personally I would be emotionally and in other ways devastated but nothing from a financial system perspective would change in the initial month/year timeframe.

Personally I would be emotionally and in other ways devastated but nothing from a financial system perspective would change in the initial month/year timeframe. Business as usual. What happens over the 10 year timeframe as the wheels of power are spun in potentially radically different directions is impossible to project with any fidelity but I would be receptive to predictions of a "slowly then all at once" variety. [edit] Will also say that I think there is a bright line difference between a "coup" and a corrupted election process. We saw an attempt at a coup on Jan 6. We have had corrupted election processes in the small since there have been elections, and in a couple of cases potentially in the medium. A successful coup, despite Jan 6, to my jaundiced eyes, is very unlikely, but would accelerate the slowly-then-suddenly shift, tho in what directions would take a book to discuss. (Trump stood down the US military in ways that were totally counter to US power/national interest and instead revealed his own corruption, etc). A corrupted election process is likely, but would not cause much in the way of external disruption, again not until the intent of the exercise of power was more evident.