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Just top of my mind: "Covid will be gone by April 2020": https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1240754657263144960 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/124075465
by raphaelj 4y ago
Just top of my mind:
"Covid will be gone by April 2020":
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1240754657263144960 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1240754657263144960
"FSD will be achieved by 2018":
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/686279251293777920 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/686279251293777920
"Neuralink in human brains by 2020":
https://news.yahoo.com/everything-know-neuralink-elon-musks-103000152.html https://news.yahoo.com/everything-know-neuralink-elon-musks-...
Being wealthy has also a lot to do with being at the right place, at the right time, inherited wealth, and outsourcing efficiently.
- jes 4y agoThank you for those examples. I agree that they are examples of predictions made by Musk that did not pan out. That being said, do you think the majority of the predictions he makes in going about his every day business are wrong? To get to the point Musk has reached, it seems to me that that would, over a lifetime, require a person making billions (?) of small predictions that no one ever hears about. I think it must be the case that he’s very good at making those kinds of predictions. I agree with you that being wealthy does confer a great advantage to people. I don’t think it explains everything about Elon Musk and the success he has achieved to date. To be clear, I don’t believe in free will. It seems like an error to me to look at a successful person and claim that they achieved their success single-handedly.
- softmango3 4y ago| do you think the majority of the predictions he makes in going about his every day business are wrong? OP is discussing his prediction about the economy though.