4 ms·
> As Bayesians, shouldn't this effect size cause us to update in the direction that coffee is good for health, even if we think confounding contributed to the l
by carbocation 4y ago
> As Bayesians, shouldn't this effect size cause us to update in the direction that coffee is good for health, even if we think confounding contributed to the large effect size?
If you apply this thought process to alcohol (given what we know now), what would you conclude about this approach to updating your priors based on implausible observational data?
- eszaq 4y agoSorry I think I'm missing some context here, was there recent definitive research on alcohol and mortality?
- carbocation 4y agoDefinitive? No. With causal interpretability? Yes (Mendelian randomization).
- eszaq 4y agoDo you have a link?