Probability is incredibly useful in real life. But it takes deliberate practise. You can improve your "sense of uncertainty" and assign fairly accurate probabil

Probability is incredibly useful in real life. But it takes deliberate practise. You can improve your "sense of uncertainty" and assign fairly accurate probabilities to things. This process is known as calibration. It also helps to know some probabilistic identities to derive the same probability multiple ways and see if there's consistency in your assessment.