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> practically all teachers now have multiple students who actually had a parent die. This is extremely unlikely and if you know multiple teachers with this con

> practically all teachers now have multiple students who actually had a parent die. This is extremely unlikely and if you know multiple teachers with this condition you just have really bad luck. Only about 60k COVID deaths are 30-49 [0] with another 200k for 50-64. This is about 25% of COVID deaths in the US. There’s 50M school kids between k-12 [1] so the odds of a kid having a parent who died is really low: 1:50M/60k2 for typical age range of school age kids or 1:50M/260k2 if you lump in the older age group, but I think that age group is less likely. So if you’re a teacher and teach 7 classes of 30 students your odds of having a single kid with a parent who died is 50% so certainly not “practically all teachers.” [0] https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-from-covid-by-age-us/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/1191568/reported-deaths-... [1] https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=372#PK12-enrollment https://nces.ed.gov/fastfacts/display.asp?id=372#PK12-enroll...

bsder 4y ago
Okay, let's grab Texas: We'll roll with 20-59 which totals to: 20,765 confirmed deaths https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/TexasCOVID19Demographics_Counts.xlsx https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/TexasCOVID19Demographics_... Texas has 1,247 school districts: https://tea.texas.gov/texas-schools/general-information/overview-of-texas-schools https://tea.texas.gov/texas-schools/general-information/over... That's roughly 16 parent Covid fatalities per school. This, of course, ignores population clustering which is going to mean more deaths in larger school districts. And there's some fuzziness because not everybody in the demographic has children (although Texas is probably higher in that regard). Granted this probably overcounts a bit because 55-59 may not have children in school anymore. However, this also doesn't count people who survived but are in bad shape (who probably outnumber deaths by quite a bit) which may be worse from a student mental health point of view. I see no contradiction to what I have said and I stand by it.
- prepend 4y ago
  A school district has multiple schools. So while there’s 1247 districts, there’s 20,000 schools do your math is very off. Your statement about most teachers is blatantly wrong. There are more survivors, but still not the vast majority of teachers. [0] https://www.greatschools.org/texas/ https://www.greatschools.org/texas/

bsder 4y ago

Okay, let's grab Texas: We'll roll with 20-59 which totals to: 20,765 confirmed deaths https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/TexasCOVID19Demographics_Counts.xlsx https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/TexasCOVID19Demographics_... Texas has 1,247 school districts: https://tea.texas.gov/texas-schools/general-information/overview-of-texas-schools https://tea.texas.gov/texas-schools/general-information/over... That's roughly 16 parent Covid fatalities per school. This, of course, ignores population clustering which is going to mean more deaths in larger school districts. And there's some fuzziness because not everybody in the demographic has children (although Texas is probably higher in that regard). Granted this probably overcounts a bit because 55-59 may not have children in school anymore. However, this also doesn't count people who survived but are in bad shape (who probably outnumber deaths by quite a bit) which may be worse from a student mental health point of view. I see no contradiction to what I have said and I stand by it.

prepend 4y ago
A school district has multiple schools. So while there’s 1247 districts, there’s 20,000 schools do your math is very off. Your statement about most teachers is blatantly wrong. There are more survivors, but still not the vast majority of teachers. [0] https://www.greatschools.org/texas/ https://www.greatschools.org/texas/