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I wouldn't say that he has no factual basis. Ford is aiming for a run rate of 5k/week by the middle of next year. We know that this was considered the minimal

by _ea1k 4y ago

I wouldn't say that he has no factual basis. Ford is aiming for a run rate of 5k/week by the middle of next year. We know that this was considered the minimal benchmark for the Model 3 and that their targets for CT are higher. Its a guess about future state, so surely not certain, but noone has this "won" by getting ~50k units done over the next 12 months.

ahahahahah 4y ago
> We know that this was considered the minimal benchmark for the Model 3 You say that as though, oh no problem Tesla will have that minimal benchmark immediately. But in reality, it wasn't until 2 years after they started delivering the model 3 that they hit that "minimal benchmark" for it.
- _ea1k 4y ago
  Well, sort of... first deliveries were in Q3 2017. By Q3 2018 they were failing to hit 5k, but that still meant 4k/week. Just ~6 months after that, they were at 5,500 per week. If they failed like that again, they'd still catch up pretty quickly. I have doubts, though. Cybertruck doesn't seem to be getting the same attention and drive behind its launch that the 3 did.