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Try thinking of it this way: The information is in which door the host does not open. 2/3rds of the time, your initial choice will be a goat. In those cases th
by arnarbi 4y ago
Try thinking of it this way: The information is in which door the host does not open.
2/3rds of the time, your initial choice will be a goat. In those cases the host deliberately avoids opening the remaining door with a car - thereby telling you where it is.
If you chose the car door initially, then indeed you get no new information. But that only happens 1/3rd of the time.
I am curious if that changes your opinion.
- tsimionescu 4y agoRead their second paragraph. That is exactly how they think of it, and they do think it makes it obvious you should switch.
- arnarbi 4y agoAh! Apologies, I did not read that properly.