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There's exactly as much evidence for that as there is for any other mitigation, which is to say none because the CDC has spent approximately 0 dollars trying to
by jdminhbg 4y ago
There's exactly as much evidence for that as there is for any other mitigation, which is to say none because the CDC has spent approximately 0 dollars trying to study any of them seriously. We're all just guessing.
- ajross 4y agoAnd once again, that seems much more like an evasion to me than a debate. Something worked, per the influenza numbers. You admit that much, right? So, is it so weird to assume that the most obvious hypothesis (general social distancing and mask use) is correct? Must we go in circles of denial and redirection like this?
- jdminhbg 4y ago> Something worked, per the influenza numbers. You admit that much, right? I admit that it's possible that something worked, but I don't even think that's a given. We don't know how covid and influenza interact, and perhaps covid is outcompeting it. I'm not at all a virologist and have only a vague understanding that this hypothesis exists, but just throwing it out there to say I'm not 100% convinced that something we did worked. > So, is it so weird to assume that the most obvious hypothesis (general social distancing and mask use) is correct? This is just begging the question. Why is mask use the most obvious hypothesis? To me the most obvious hypothesis is that by closing nursing homes to outside visitors we shut off the main vector by which new influenza infections enter the facilities. And again, this is just both of us guessing, because we don't have data.