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Next milestone: back to 6 billion as the developing world moves to western demographics
by zerostar07 15y ago
Next milestone: back to 6 billion as the developing world moves to western demographics
- b_emery 15y agoThat would be a very interesting outcome. It seems rare that things that grow exponentially just level off at some point (I'm thinking of economic bubbles), or even slowly decline. I'd be happy with anything but a massive collapse.
- cydonian_monk 15y agoI'm not so sure. I agree we will eventually reach a point where the global birth rate (and later population) goes down, but I don't think we're close to it yet. I suspect we'll hit 8 or 9 Billion before we start to shrink back again. And if we continue to extend the average age, then we may never shrink in numbers (barring a major catastrophe or mass-migration).
- zerostar07 15y agoInterestingly that's what more or less the UN predicts, too [1]. My milestone may take a few hundred years it seems [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population