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Did we skip launches per month and launches per year here? The post says ”…four starlink launches all with successful first stage landing just in the month of M
by jws 4y ago
Did we skip launches per month and launches per year here? The post says ”…four starlink launches all with successful first stage landing just in the month of May” then the parent goes to $50M/launch -> $200M/year.
I don’t think you can analyze the cost as a steady state since to constellation is growing rapidly. But to consider a snapshot of the current constellation… There are about 2200 Starlink satellites in orbit, generating $44M/month in revenue and lasting 5 years. That suggests the need to replace 440 satellites per year, or 8.3 launches of 53 satellites per year for $415M/year (at $50/launch) or $35M/month.
That’s just launch costs, so not a lot left over for everything else, so probably not profitable at this time. But it doesn’t need to be. It needs to get all the pieces in place so Starship launched next generation satellites have a big enough customer base to make that business work.