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Agreed on a lot of this, except that the 2000 blackouts gave us any clues about what to do for the blackouts decades later. Completer different, unrated causes
by epistasis 4y ago
Agreed on a lot of this, except that the 2000 blackouts gave us any clues about what to do for the blackouts decades later. Completer different, unrated causes. For 2000, deregulation was don't poorly and allowed a corrupt company to exploit a bad market. For the later blackouts, climate change estimates were not taken into account for extreme weather events, which led to underestimating peak load.
- fakethenews2022 4y agoFair enough but look at population growth in California from 2000 till recently. That alone was going to cause problems.
- epistasis 4y agoRight, they accounted for population change, as you can tell because we don't have daily blackouts. They did not account for extreme weather events that were outside prior models of weather possibilities. This is quite distinct from, say, Texas's failure to respond to freezing events that were identical to the freezing events from a decade prior. The California blackouts were due to extreme events that had not been experienced. (In addition to failure of a large natural gas plant, IIRC, but the plan should take that into account too)
- fakethenews2022 4y agoFair enough.